DraftKings Tournament Breakdown: Week 11
Quarterback
Kyle Allen, Carolina Panthers, $5,300
Paying up for quarterback is going to be immensely popular with Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson facing off. Plus Jameis versus the Saints could garner significant ownership. This is all in spite of the fact that Kyle Allen may be the best value of the slate at his position.
Allen faces the Falcons this week and the Panthers have a 27 implied team total, fifth-highest on the slate. The Falcons have been crushed through the air this season. They have allowed opposing passers to average 7.8 yards per attempt, 28th in the league.
Moving thousands of salary dollars from quarterback to other positions is going to give you a unique build but still gets one of the best value-passers on your roster.
Running Back
Brian Hill, Atlanta Falcons, $4,800
Not every tournament option has to be 1% owned. In fact, some are going to push 30%. Brian Hill is simply the freest of squares this week and fading him, even in tournaments, gives up too many cheap points to do.
Last week, after Devonta Freeman went down, the Falcons gave Hill 20 carries and two targets. Their only other active back was Kenjon Barner. The long-time special-teamer recorded a single carry and no targets last week. It’s not often that you can lock up as high of a market share of backfield touches as you’ll get wit Hill his week. It’s almost impossible to do so below 5K.
Josh Jacobs, Oakland Raiders, $6,900
The Raiders quietly have the highest implied team total of the week but ownership appears to be shaking out in favor of other teams. On top of this, it’s easy to get a large chunk of the Oakland offense with very few players. The first of those options is Josh Jacobs.
Jacobs has been responsible for 28% of the team’s yards and 29% of the touchdowns.
Jacobs is top-10 in the NFL with 34 red zone touches. Jacobs’ touchdown potential is incredibly high for a back that isn’t priced in the top-five on the slate.
Wide Receiver
D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers, $5,900
With Brian Hill and Deebo Samuel (check out our DraftKings Cash Game article for more on him) locks even in tournaments, you’re going to have to get really strange with your lineup to no chop 1st place if you manage to get there. The way to do that is to attack the Carolina offense without Christian McCaffrey. If you’re going to do so, D.J. Moore is your guy.
Over his previous four games, Moore has averaged 10 targets per game. On top of that, his average depth of target has increased by more than a yard from the first half of the season to the second half. His share of the team’s air yards has increased by 10% from weeks 1-5 to weeks 6-10.
If more can convert his insane volume into multiple scores, McCaffrey likely doesn’t return value as one of the most popular plays on the slate. The Moore-Allen stack is potentially the highest lever duo you can get in Week 11.
Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals, $5,200
Tyler Boyd has been targeted 91 times this season. Only three receivers have seen more passes thrown their way. Volume is our greatest predictor of fantasy points but Boyd has bucked that trend with his WR21 performance so far this year.
His matchup with Oakland is the perfect spot to turn that around as Oakland has allowed their opponents to average 8.1 yards per pass attempt. That mark is 30th in the NFL.
The Bengals are 10.5-point dogs this week on the road and they are already averaging the second-most pass attempts per game. Boyd could get there on receptions alone plus the volume indicates that touchdowns are coming his way at some point. Buy low on Boyd and run him back with Jacobs for the correlation.
Tight End
Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles, $3,200
The Eagles have not been shy about getting Dallas Goedert on the field when DeSean Jackson is out. Instead of trotting out a useless third receiver, they’ve run 2TE sets more than any other team in the league at 40%.
Now, the Eagles could be without Alshon Jeffery, who has yet to practice this week and is questionable to play. If that comes to fruition, Goedert could set a season-high in snaps played. When he’s played, Goedert has been a beast. He’s averaging .6 points per route (8th among tight ends) and 1.9 points per target (16th). New England has a lot of good options—Mohamed Sanu was targeted 14 times last week, for instance—but you should be looking to run them back with an Eagle. Goedert is your man.
Defense
New Orleans Saints, $2,900
Unlike the slates we’ve seen in the past few weeks, this slate has a lot of good games to target. If your build doesn’t end up stacking the Saints/Bucs game, rolling the Saints defense as a bet against this game entirely is the way to attack it.
Jameis Winston has been sacked 3.8 times per game and the Bucs as a team have turned the ball over 2.3 times per game this season. Both of those marks are in the bottom-four in the league. Winston has shown a propensity to implode throughout his career and it seems as though nothing has changed. If this game is going to be wort fading, it’s going to happen through the Saints defense.