Quarterback

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, $8,200

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens host Cincinnati this week in a game that Vegas expects to be a blowout. The Ravens are 12-point favorites and have the highest implied team total at 29.75 points. Only the Chiefs’ team total matches them this week.

The Bengals are a particularly good matchup because they play fast and won’t pressure Jackson. 

The Bengals run a play every 26.7 seconds, eighth in the NFL. Their drives will be short in both time and play-count which will keep Baltimore’s offense on the field often.

Cincinnati has sacked the opposing quarterback nine times, a mark that is the sixth-fewest in the NFL. Jackson has been sacked that many times in the past two weeks after being sacked just six times in his first three games this season. The Ravens will get Jackson back to the clean pockets that lead him pass all over teams early in the season. Once this happens, his upside is uncapped.

Running Back

Damien Williams, Kansas City Chiefs, $6,600

After being sidelined for a few weeks due to injury, Damien Williams came back last week and quietly resumed his role as the Chiefs’ bell-cow back.

• Damien Williams - 55.6% snap share
• LeSean McCoy - 22.2%
• Darrel Williams - 22.2%

Beyond the snaps, Williams carried the ball nine times. No other running back recorded a rush attempt for the team. Finally, Williams saw four targets to McCoy’s two.

Williams is getting the bulk of the work for the highest projected scoring this team. That team is also a five-point favorite at home. 

Damien Williams is an especially god play on Fanduel where touchdowns are more heavily weighted relative to receptions and there are no 100-yard bonuses. Kansas City is averaging a rushing score per game despite trotting out a rotation of injured players in McCoy and Williams. Now that he is healthy, Williams has multi-touchdown upside. 

He’s the biggest no-brainer that could be owned by less than 5% of tournament players. 

Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys, $8,500

A myriad of strange circumstances have prevented Ezekiel Elliott from producing a 20-point game, which he had six of during the regular season last year, in 2019. In Weeks 1 and 3, the Cowboys won by three possessions and didn’t need to play Zeke late in the games. He was also coming off a holdout during which he was not with the team or getting reps in practice. Week 2 saw him go over 100 yards and find the end zone for his best game. Dallas has lost both of their previous two games making it hard for them to commit to running the ball. However, in those games, Zeke has been on the field for all but eight of the Cowboy’s 130 offensive snaps. 

This week they face the Jets as 7.5-point favorites. Having been back with the team for a while now and being on the right side of game script, Zeke is in line for his best game of the season.

Wide Receiver

Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals, $6,400

Tyler Boyd is fourth in targets (53) among wideouts and is the 17th highest priced receiver. Even on Fanduel, receptions aren’t as valuable, that is a laughable discrepancy and should be exploited.

The Ravens defense has regressed from their world-beater status of 2018 into a manageable matchup for a player with Boyd’s volume. As a massive underdog who calls passing plays on more than 70% of their snaps, the Bengals are going to attempt to set records for pass attempts this week. That’s the perfect setup for Boyd running easily converted routes out of the slot.

Stacking him with Jackson is a way to create differentiated lineups with the potential for massive volume.

D.J. Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars, $6,500

Because of all of the insane performances from Week 5, Chark registered the quietest 30-point game of the season. For the first time this year, he led all Jacknsville receivers in snaps. He played on 68 of 84 possible snaps. Less surprisingly, he also led the team in air yards at a whopping 175.

Now Chark is sixth among wideouts in air yards on the entire season. Chark’s air yards have steadily reason each week since Week 2 and he has never dipped below 70 air yards in a game. The deep volume he’s seeing gives him that 30-point upside every week. Buy now before his price continues to rise.

Tight End

George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers, $6,500

Having a lot of exposure to both sides of the 49ers/Rams game will be important in tournaments because of the game’s 51.5-point total, second only to Kansas City’s matchup with Houston. The option on the LA side are much easier with Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods dominating the team’s targets. 

The same can’t be said for the 49ers’. No receiver on the team has a target share greater than 15%. George Kittle’s target share is  25% and his share of the team’s air yards is 26%. The latter of those marks leads all tight ends. Don’t get cute trying to figure out which receiver to roster on the 49ers. Just click Kitte.

Defense

Kansas City, $3,400

Playing the Chiefs at defense is obviously a risky proposition. They play the Texans this week. Last week, the Texans scored 52 points against the Falcons. Rolling your defense against that will ruin even a great lineup. However, Deshaun Watson is fourth in the NFL having taken 18 sacks in his five games this season. 

Higher totals also mean more plays run which could result in a number of sacks and potentially turnovers for the Chiefs defense. Stacking them with Williams is a risk worth taking in large-field GPP’s.