Quarterback

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, $8,300

Deshaun Watson appears to be the public’s favorite passer regardless of the site you’re playing on but Lamar Jackson has a significantly higher ceiling with his rushing ability and the best upside per dollar receiver on his side.

Jackson has played 11 games in his career and rushed for 90 yards in over a third of them. Now he’s getting points through the air too. Jackson has 10 passing touchdowns this season, tied for the league-lead. 

This week he faces Pittsburgh, who allowed seven passing touchdowns to be scored on them through three weeks before getting the cake matchup that is Cincinnati last week. Jackson is the best bet to lead all passers in scoring and won’t be owned like it this week.

Running Back

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans, $6,700

Derrick Henry has utterly dominated the work out of the backfield in Tennessee. His 78 carries account for 85.7% of the total running back carries for the Titans. He’s also been responsible for eight of the 19 targets going toward rushers for the Titans as well.

This week he faces the Buffalo Bills, a team that has been funneling opposing production to the running back. 45% of all yards gained against the Bills have come on the ground and half of the touchdowns are in the hands of running backs.

Henry has slate-breaking upside as evidenced by the numerous slates he’s broken: Henry has three games of more than 150 scrimmage yards in his past eight games. Henry will have more of those games before the season is over and his matchup with Buffalo has a good chance of being the next.

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears, $5,700

After Week 1 (when the Bears thought it was a good idea to get Mike Davis heavily involved), David Montgomery has been one of the premier backs in the NFL in terms of volume. He’s averaged 17.3 carries per game and 2.3 receptions per game.

This week he gets to face the Oakland Raiders as a 5-point favorite. Plus, the Bears will be without Mitchell Trubisky, who is out due to a shoulder injury. That could lead them to lean on the run even more. Everything is set up for Montgomery to finally capitalize on his volume like Leonard Fournette and Nick Chubb did last week.

Wide Receiver

Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens, $5,400

Continue to buy-low based on air yards with Marquise Brown. Brown is third in the league with 507 air yards but has disappointed since Week 1, when he put up a 4-147-2 stat line. Even with the Week 1 performance, Brown is outside the top-20 in fantasy points. 

Brown is seeing more volume than almost any receiver in the league. He plays Pittsburgh, who gave up 85 points in three weeks before getting to play the inept Cincinnati Bengals.

He’s an even better play on Fanduel where he costs the exact same price ($5,400) as he does on DraftKings despite Fanduel’s pricing being higher on the whole. Stack him with Lamar Jackson and print money.

John Brown, Buffalo Bills, $5,500

Many will take the injury to Josh Allen as a negative but his prowess as a passer is almost identical to the backup, Matt Barkley. Throughout his career, Allen has an average depth of target of 10.6 on his passes. This season, as an improved passer, he has a -1.4% completion percentage over expectation. Matt Barkley has a career aDOT of 10.4 and a career CPOE of -1.5%. Barkley’s negative name brand will do more to dampen Brown’s ownership than it will actually affect his production. 

Tight End

Evan Engram, New York Giants, $6,300

Dalvin Cook is good chalk this week as the workhorse running back on a team that is favored by 5.5-points. He’s a single yard behind the league’s leading rusher. However, you don’t gain much leverage over the field by playing him nor do you want to stack him with any members of his rush-oriented offense.

If the Vikings do take a lead and ride it with Cook dominating the work, that sets up well for Evan Engram, as his team’s leading receiver, to get a lot of work while his team plays catch-up. His 23.1% target share leads the New York Giants and is top-five for tight ends. The volume could grow exponentially once the Giants are playing from a deficit.

Defense

Cincinnati Bengals, $3,700

No quarterback has been sacked more than Kyler Murray this season at 20. Cincinnati and Arizona each rank in the top half of the league in plays run as well. Arizona is eighth and Cincinnati is 16th. The matchup between these two should produce a large number of plays.

On top of the total game volume, Cincinnati will be facing mostly drop-backs from Murray. The Cardinals are passing on more than 70% of their plays. 

Take the cheap volume against the most sack-prone team in the league.