Alright, time to dig ourselves out of the rut this week. As opposed to last week where I was on all the home underdogs, this week there are a few teams on the road where I believe the line is just too wide not to take advantage of.

ATS Last Week: 1-2
ATS This Season: 10-14

Buffalo Bills + 2.5 @ Cleveland Browns

Basically, if you gave me any NFL team with points against the Cleveland Browns then I am very likely to put American dollars on them. Even with the Browns at home, I am not afraid of them whatsoever. The Broncos came through for us last week and I fully expect Buffalo to do the same in this spot. Even with Cleveland being at home, Buffalo has the much better defense which will continue to give the Browns offensive line problems along with Baker Mayfield. On a neutral field, I think Buffalo is clearly the better team so getting points with them is just a bonus. The public seems to agree with 76% of tickets on the Bills to cover here.

Atlanta Falcons + 13 @ New Orleans Saints

I understand that the Falcons have been a complete letdown this season. With that being said, they are coming off a bye and should get Matt Ryan back in this game. This should be a competitive divisional game and with an offense that has as much talent as the Falcons do, getting nearly two touchdowns is tough to pass on. I’d be surprised if they go into New Orleans and win this week but I’d also be surprised if they just got completely blown out assuming Matt Ryan is confirmed back this week.

Seattle Seahawks + 6 @ San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco remains the only undefeated team in the NFL. That could change this week in what should be a very competitive game against divisional rival, Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are coming off an exciting overtime win last week and seem to be clicking on offense. This will be their toughest test against a top defense in the NFL. I think the line should be closer to 4.5 here so I am backing on the road underdog to cover here. The line has already moved .5 in favor of Seattle and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it inch closer come Sunday.